Despite a long history of regional integration and a multiplicity of regional organisations in southern Africa, the effect of regional integration on economic growth and poverty reduction remains debatable or elusive. This causes many to doubt whether regional integration is in actual fact an effective poverty-reduction strategy. Accordingly, the focus of this book is to explore and analyse whether specific Southern African Development Community (SADC) trade integration policies, especially the trade liberalisation regime, have produced economic growth and reduced poverty in the region. While it is generally agreed that economic growth is the panacea to poverty reduction, there is little evidence as to whether regional integration in Africa is associated with economic growth in the countries concerned and subsequently leads to poverty reduction. The book makes recommendations on how the SADC FTAs can contribute to poverty reduction and socioeconomic development, and goes on to suggest policy proposals on how to enhance the contribution of the FTAs to poverty eradication and economic development. It also identifies specific activities to be undertaken to enable supply-side and productive competitiveness interventions to support the FTAs and contribute to economic development. The potential constraints and negative impacts of the FTAs are investigated and highlighted, and possible solutions are recommended and motivated.
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Exrait
Regional Trade Integration, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in Southern Africa
Regional Trade Integration, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in Southern Africa
Edîted by Moses Tekere
First published in 2012 by Africa Institute of South Africa PO Box 630 Pretoria 0001 South Africa and Trade and Development Studies Centre 3 Downie Avenue Belgravia, Harare Zimbabwe
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Project manager: Nonjabulo Dladla Copy-editor: Deleen Wilson Proofreader: Alexa Barnby Design and layout: Dudu Coelho Cover photos (clockwise from top left): K. Dratwa; Freebigpictures.com; B. Patro; Dios Com; Drouu
Foundation for analysing the impact of regional trade liberalisation on economic growth and poverty reduction Introductîon Theoretîca oundatîon Anaytîca approach and ramework
Southern Africa and contemporary global economic environment and challenges Mutîpe goba crîses and the împact on poverty în Southern Arîca Cîmate change and îts împact on poverty în the SADC regîon Goba and regîona trade îberaîsatîon arrangements Regîona trade arrangements Concusîons
Poverty dimensions and reduction strategies in the SADC region SADC regîon: Economîc growth îndîcators and poverty proie Goba, regîona and natîona poverty reductîon strategîes and poîcîes SADC’S poverty eradîcatîon strategy Outîne o SADC countrîes’specîic poverty reductîon strategîes Hîgh and ow împact poverty reductîon strategîes în SADC countrîes
Status and progress of SADC regional trade integration Background to SADC întegratîon Orîentatîon o SADC trade îberaîsatîon poîcîes SADC Free Trade Agreement–Trade Protoco and eves o împementatîon Rues o orîgîn under SADC FTA Structure o SADC exports Dynamîcs o întra-SADC trade
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16 18 26
37 40 41 44 48
51 61 63 66 69
77 78 80 95 96 98
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REGIONAL TRADE INTEGRATION, ECONOMIC GROW TH AND POVERT Y REDUCTION IN SOUTHERN AFRICA
Share o exports by SADC member states Concusîon
The delink between SADC trade liberalisation and poverty reduction Pro-poor consumer and productîon baskets Dynamîcs o pro-poor întra-SADC trade Intensîty o pro-poor commodîty trade wîthîn SADC Productîon structures and competîtîveness Experîence o other countrîes Concusîon
Selected country case studies on the impact of SADC FTA on poverty reduction Angola case study Introductîon Poverty îndîcators and poverty eradîcatîon strategîes Agrîcuture and poverty An overvîew o Angoa’s tradîng arrangements Emergîng markets and Angoa Concusîon
Lesotho case study Poîtîca economy perspectîve o poverty în Lesotho Sîgnîicance o the agrîcutura sector în Lesotho Lesotho’s vunerabîîty and underyîng causes o poverty Lesotho’s trade arrangements Dynamîcs o Lesotho’s trade în SADC Compementary programmes to poverty reductîon Concusîon and recommendatîons
Malawi case study Maawî trade îberaîsatîon wîthîn mutîatera, regîona and autonomous rameworks Impementatîon o the SADC FTA: progress and chaenges The ood securîty success story o Maawî Hîgh împact poverty înterventîons and essons Assessment o the împact o SADC FTA on poverty reductîon Chaenges or other sma-scae agrîcutura producers: the case o tobacco and sugar SADC FTAs and abour markets: actor prîces, încome and empoyment înkages The SADC FTA and househod consumptîon, prîces and productîon
99 103
107 109 116 127 128 130
133 134 138 138 139 140
143 145 146 149 150 151 153
156 158 163 164 170 173 175 177
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Concusîon
Mozambique case study The poverty sîtuatîon and poverty reductîon strategîes Chaenges to poverty reductîon An overvîew o Mozambîque’s tradîng arrangements SADC FTA and Mozambîque demand and suppy response Investment response, market structures and competîtîveness Hîgh împact înterventîons Key chaenges to reaîsîng the beneits o SADC FTAs Concusîon and recommendatîons
CONTENTS
Zambia case study Zambîa’s macroeconomîc perormance Zambîa’s poverty dîmensîons and reductîon strategîes Status o îberaîsatîon under the SADC FTA and the demand and suppy response Demand response due to an FTA Suppy response – new învestment and jobs Hîgh împact înterventîon programmes (maîze trade) Concusîon and recommendatîons
Zimbabwe case study Introductîon Zîmbabwe’s trade îberaîsatîon and economîc deveopment Zîmbabwe–SADC trade FTA and Zîmbabwe’s domestîc productîon response Perormance o Zîmbabwe’s agrîcuture sector (2000–2008) The case o maîze trade Donor communîty înterventîons or poverty eradîcatîon Concusîon
Complementary SADC programmes to address poverty reduction SADC heath programme SADC HIV programme SADC educatîon programme SADC energy programme SADC transport and communîcatîon programme Commonaîtîes and dîvergences o natîona experîences and essons or sustaînabîîty and equîtabîîty în economîc growth